Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 100.652269 114.770528 130.902308 150.862736 175.125665 203.961100 2.412786e+02
2025-04-13 80.244530 97.838076 119.903163 150.207472 191.733127 248.203772 3.337373e+02
2025-04-20 71.180082 90.887202 117.279972 156.425911 215.288555 304.709144 4.603449e+02
2025-04-27 66.384270 88.065708 118.753135 167.427842 247.069271 381.575293 6.514625e+02
2025-05-04 59.596941 81.200015 112.997214 165.958036 258.308732 427.850653 8.111041e+02
2025-05-11 54.927974 76.649996 109.776735 167.508816 274.483032 487.802457 1.034304e+03
2025-05-18 50.264125 71.475986 104.750533 164.911125 282.165616 533.268188 1.254354e+03
2025-05-25 47.118210 68.262946 102.379230 166.407276 297.934781 602.057792 1.596621e+03
2025-06-01 44.086006 64.887283 99.266736 165.915694 309.377098 665.331036 1.986845e+03
2025-06-08 41.141892 61.359683 95.458817 163.421740 315.793077 718.586669 2.405907e+03
2025-06-15 39.834272 60.419911 96.055644 169.696451 344.013395 846.932965 3.365519e+03
2025-06-22 36.823489 56.316877 90.498122 162.420939 337.444288 866.113406 3.791885e+03
2025-06-29 34.860671 54.054147 88.441351 163.046068 353.455495 977.368635 5.150202e+03
2025-07-06 32.901991 51.660030 85.935643 162.441538 366.728468 1091.912777 7.038715e+03
2025-07-13 31.972872 51.011728 86.694477 169.357631 403.863865 1335.039790 1.186444e+04
2025-07-20 31.619975 51.368572 89.466031 181.611688 462.642363 1748.686825 2.541727e+04
2025-07-27 29.995963 49.199610 86.821899 179.972841 475.754588 1946.669171 4.009479e+04
2025-08-03 28.813774 47.773354 85.572002 181.701995 501.661377 2262.421363 7.757974e+04
2025-08-10 27.360484 45.712147 82.756936 178.805855 509.732666 2477.342119 1.369405e+05
2025-08-17 26.381220 44.505527 81.675786 180.473691 536.634743 2890.256754 3.718866e+05
2025-08-24 25.316925 43.052916 79.907577 179.925637 554.689894 3276.268136 1.251350e+06
2025-08-31 24.180648 41.380693 77.495150 177.146124 562.426800 3592.211901 5.899937e+06
2025-09-07 23.769302 41.146234 78.332484 184.142283 618.178599 4617.601290 NaN